Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 23, 2021

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Fri Aug 27 13:00:05 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

More specifically, they'll tend to understate vaccine effectiveness since at this point lots of the unvaccinated population will have had COVID. (Though it's not quite that simple: some of the vaccinated population will have had COVID too and they seem to have extra protection.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

As more data comes out showing natural immunity provides fairly durable protection, studies of vaccine efficacy are going to be hopelessly confounded unless they account for previous infection status of both the vaccinated and unvaccinated population. https://t.co/tQZvhhQhZB — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@nataliexdean I think my tweet was confusingly worded! The study cited in Science seems good on that point. More worried about when people make claims about vaccine efficacy based on e.g. case rates in the vaccinated vs. unvaccinated population in [insert state/country here]. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2021