Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 3, 2021

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Fri Aug 20 17:34:41 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The fact that vaccines **greatly** reduce severe outcomes from COVID is often treated as a footnote or afterthought, when it has profound implications both for society's response to COVID and for your personal risk calculus. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 20, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm a little skeptical of this result, since it doesn't match all sorts of observational data (e.g. restaurant reservations or air traffic numbers) showing people's social activities back to maybe 80-90% of pre-pandemic levels. So maybe some social desirability bias. But still. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 20, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@IChotiner "As much as possible" certainly allows for a fudge factor, although it's a reasonably strong statement. Hard to know. What's also weird is that few people I know IRL are "avoiding people as much as possible" even though they're mostly vaxxed, college-educated liberal-ish types. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 20, 2021