Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 16, 2021

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Wed Aug 11 18:32:42 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@EricTopol @ashishkjha But REACT isn't (at least I'm pretty sure) controlling for the seropositivity of the unvaccinated group, which is likely pretty high in the UK and plausibly makes a big difference. It's also not distinguishing Pfizer vs AZ. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 11, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Just off the cuff, here are 10 things to think about when you read competing claims about vaccine effectiveness. Several of these can plausibly change the numbers quite a lot, which is why it's not surprising that there's disagreement from study to study. https://t.co/Y5ceLEq0Ti — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 11, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also: 11. Some studies have small samples. 12. If you're interested in Delta, make sure you're not using pre-Delta data. 13. There may be complicated statistical effects if people vary in the extent to which they're protected by the vaccines, see e.g.: https://t.co/6bX66iUn7d — PolitiTweet.org

@NateSilver538 There's an interesting effect where variability in susceptiblity can lead to increasing underestimat… https://t.co/oCca3EIM8I

Posted Aug. 11, 2021