Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 16, 2021

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Tue Aug 10 17:02:16 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm I was just thinking about who might win if it was say AOC against a Charlie Baker type. But yeah if it's a Trumpy Republican the Democratic primary is presumably winner-take-all. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 10, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There will be a lot of press coverage of people who are more famous, but probably Hochul is the most likely winner of the NY gubernatorial primary next year. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 10, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Among 13 governors* to take over after resignations since 2008, 10 subsequently won election to their own term. 1 lost his primary and 2 didn't seek re-election. * Excluding when Maggie Hassan resigned a few days early to begin her Senate term. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 10, 2021