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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 16, 2021

Created

Mon Aug 09 14:37:57 +0000 2021

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443

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24

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Can you do better by also accounting for other stuff like gender, pre-existing conditions, and access to health care? Sure. But age is very very very important in determining COVID fatality rates and looking at age-based survival estimates is surely useful as a first pass. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 9, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Not sure which "experts" they're talking to but I doubt many would support this claim. You can certainly look at national statistics for your age group to get a reasonable benchmark for your chances of surviving COVID. — PolitiTweet.org

Poynter @Poynter

Experts say a person cannot determine their own chances at surviving COVID-19 by looking at national statistics, be… https://t.co/UB613MGzZI

Posted Aug. 9, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@robbysoave Yeah. And also the notion that COVID has a 99% survival rate is very much in line with the expert consensus. While estimates of the IFR vary a bit from study to study, it's pretty bad that Facebook is flagging that sort of post for misinformation. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 9, 2021

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