Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 16, 2021

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Fri Aug 06 01:28:06 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@conorsen Yeah. Also lockdown compliance erodes over time so even as they make gains from more people being vaccinated that will pull in the opposite direction. One exit strategy: vaccinate all 65+ as fast as you can and then "flatten the curve". The zero Covid folks are...devout though. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 6, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@conorsen Back of the envelope: Wuhan got R down to 0.4 or 0.5 or something during their lockdown but Delta is like 2.5x as contagious as the original strain. So you need a stricter-than-Wuhan lockdown to keep R<1 which I'm not sure is feasible in a democracy. We'll see though. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 6, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Israel has already reimposed a vaccine pass that limits what unvaccinated people can do. So basically they're threatening unvaccinated people by saying they'd impose lockdowns that would take *vaccinated* people's rights away too. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ https://t.co/X1ncMombJg https://t.co/mebjC0y9qS — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 6, 2021