Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 16, 2021

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Wed Aug 04 15:50:08 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@donnellymjd @apoorva_nyc @dzeitzoff That's not correct. The study authors said *viral loads* *might* be similar. They did *not* make any claims about *transmission*. It's a big leap from viral loads -> transmission. The study also included many caveats that did not appear in the NYT story. https://t.co/jF3BO94oh0 https://t.co/lcsdLtGiRY — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 4, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@donnellymjd @apoorva_nyc @dzeitzoff In addition to the statistical issues I've outlined, many experts think that Ct values are a poor proxy for transmissibility and the study certainly does not provide any sort of clinical proof of how often vaccinated people are transmitting. https://t.co/vsiLSH6RN4 — PolitiTweet.org

2. Did vaccines prevent spread among the infected? Don't know Study examined Ct values of symptomatic vaccinated… https://t.co/GRa7q9AKQw

Posted Aug. 4, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@donnellymjd @apoorva_nyc @dzeitzoff You've highlighted a policy recommendation, which one could argue about given the uncertain evidence. But the authors make no claim that vaccinated breakthroughs transmit just as easily. Instead they make the more modest claim that they *might* have similar viral loads. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 4, 2021