Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 16, 2021

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Wed Aug 04 11:23:07 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

To throw a gauntlet down, a pretty simple test of whether news outlets like @nytimes actually care about getting the science right is if they report on this more rigorous UK study with >= fervor to the Provincetown study. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 4, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The study also avoids some of the selection bias issues discussed since it relies on a random sample, not just a convenience sample of those who happened to get tested because they had symptoms. It is much more rigorous than e.g. the Wisconsin or Provincetown Bear Weak studies. https://t.co/4IQjA8qAxh — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 4, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One statistical issue that's crossed my mind: In counties like the US that have been hit hard by COVID, a significant portion of the *unvaccinated* population will have some degree of immunity from a previous infection. That could make vaccines seem superficially less effective. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 4, 2021