Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 8, 2021

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Fri Jul 30 18:11:26 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Finally I'd note that the sample sizes here are tiny, leading to very wide confidence intervals. And the "real life" confidence intervals are likely even wider given that (as the study authors say) the sample isn't very diverse. (P-town = mostly affluent middle-aged gay men.) https://t.co/llLfxC1jhK — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 30, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

*Symptomatic* breakthrough infections having similar viral loads to *symptomatic* unvaccinated infections would be much less of a problem, both because symptomatic breakthroughs are rare and because people can learn to be more careful (and get tested) when they have symptoms. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 30, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

To take a self-selected, not-statistically-significant sample of ~200 nondiverse people during a party weekend that was an outlier in many respects, and use it to conclude that breakthrough infections are just as likely to transmit the virus, seems like quite the stretch. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 30, 2021