Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 8, 2021

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Wed Jul 28 11:12:39 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I don't care that the prediction is wrong, I'm sure this stuff is hard to predict. It's that he's consistently so overconfident. Now he says he's "positive" the pandemic will be over by October. Well, probably. But there are downside risks: new variants, waning immunity, etc. https://t.co/rfoWbCtwoh — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 28, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

COVID cases have fallen to 33K per day (7-day average) since Neil Ferguson, perhaps the UK's most prominent epidemiologist, said it was "almost inevitable" that cases would hit 100K/day. https://t.co/zE6fYgw2eh https://t.co/pzFgU2gmBg — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 28, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @PTetlock: Nate nails it. Expect even top forecasters to make lots of mistakes. So, focus on overall track records & capacity to learn.… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 28, 2021 Retweet