Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 8, 2021

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Thu Jul 22 17:21:54 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Part of what I'm critiquing is articles like this one that draw an implicit tension between the statistical evidence of fairly low (and almost always non-severe) rates of breakthrough infections with anecdotal examples of where such infections did occur. https://t.co/alKn8GCqit — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 22, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A big part of "why are we hearing about so many more breakthrough infections right now?" is simply that there's more community spread in the US, period. Cases are up about 4-fold from the early summer trough, so there are a lot more opportunities for rare spillovers to occur. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 22, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In a country with 162 million fully vaccinated people, most of whom have resumed some version of their pre-pandemic lives, you'll have your fair share of breakthroughs. And of course some of them will be clustered, just like other infections are. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 22, 2021