Nate Silver

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Kevin_Goldstein If a team's down by more than one run in the bottom of the 9th, giving up a leadoff walk or a leadoff HR should have approximately the same effect on win expectancy, and you can argue the former is worse if pitchers are worse with runners on base. (Empirical data is mixed.) — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@AstorAaron For me it's like, as a vaccinated person, we're sort of in the steady/endemic state. Risk may vary over time based on community spread/variants/boosters, but it's likely to be present in some form and may be about average now relative to where it will be over the long run. — PolitiTweet.org