Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 8, 2021

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Wed Jul 21 21:37:47 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

For as much as we're a hopelessly polarized country, ~70% of adults (and I'd guess more like ~75% of likely voters) are already at least partly vaccinated. It's hard to get 70-75% of the country to agree on anything! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 21, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I don't think this is that complicated. The vaccinated are a supermajority of voters, they have every reason to be highly annoyed with the unvaccinated and the people who abet them, and the Delta variant makes it more likely this will still be a salient issue by November 2022. — PolitiTweet.org

there's just no good explanation for Republicans suddenly getting vax religion. the best bad ( in the sense of impl… https://t.co/4Q9nqIPPSQ

Posted July 21, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Kevin_Goldstein If a team's down by more than one run in the bottom of the 9th, giving up a leadoff walk or a leadoff HR should have approximately the same effect on win expectancy, and you can argue the former is worse if pitchers are worse with runners on base. (Empirical data is mixed.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 21, 2021