Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 5, 2021

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Mon Jul 19 17:00:21 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If 95% of a population is fully vaccinated and vaccines reduce hospitalizations by 90%, you'd expect ~2/3 of hospitalizations to be among vaccinated people. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 19, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The UK has a VERY high share of older people vaccinated (like 95%+ of age 65+) and since hospitalizations are MUCH more likely to occur among older people, that makes a pretty big difference. Also, their Delta wave is further along and AZ likely a bit less effective than mRNA. — PolitiTweet.org

How are these both possible? 60% of COVID hospitalizations in the UK are vaccinated people, but less than 3% in the… https://t.co/ei0wpsGwdH

Posted July 19, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @kennyshirley: @NateSilver538 I used to teach Bayes theorem and its results still surprise me! Here’s the type of diagram that usually… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 19, 2021 Retweet