Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 8, 2021

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Wed Jun 09 13:38:04 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I wish I had a fun hot-take on the NYC mayoral race but IDK, I suppose these betting market prices mostly make sense. Maybe you could argue for being a little short on Garcia, who's only led in 1 poll and who's momentum may have been usurped by progressive endorsements for Wiley. https://t.co/p5wtewgkrU — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 9, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias There's pretty clear evidence—not quite an expert consensus, but most of the way there—that moderation indeed is electorally helpful, and that idea very much is *not* in vogue among progressive activist types. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 8, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If I were a betting man (which I am, just not on elections) I'd want to try to figure out which candidates are performing well among people who don't primarily speak English, because that's a sizable constituency in NYC and it's very likely they're underrepresented in polls. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 9, 2021