Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 8, 2021

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Tue Jun 08 14:39:15 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In other news, I have a (somewhat belated) review of our how 2020 election forecasts did. Overall we were quite happy and the forecasts were largely accurate and well-calibrated despite a bad year for the polls. But some things to think about for 2022/24. https://t.co/ivCsLKbVO0 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 8, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One way to put it is that the push for HR1 reveals that Democratic leadership is either unserious about elections reform, or thinks there's no chance that anything will pass. — PolitiTweet.org

The info flow/expectation setting w medium info Ds on this was problematic @MTPFirstRead > “HR 1 designed as a m… https://t.co/zs7EdE…

Posted June 8, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also, I wish we didn't need to include this sort of disclaimer, but unfortunately I suspect it's going to be a feature of our forecasts going forward. https://t.co/R4ZIzArJ59 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 8, 2021