Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 30, 2021

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Fri May 28 18:00:05 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DKarol I'm not sure that's right, because Democrats didn't do particularly well in the House in 2020 (+3% in the House popular vote) so mean reversion will cost them less. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 28, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@NickRiccardi I'd say the extraordinarily high turnout in 2020 and the GA runoffs are some evidence. But I'm also just going from my intuition of what tends to motivate Democrats. Both communities of color and college-educated liberals are concerned about it and that covers most of the D base. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 28, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

4) After GOP turnout declined in the Georgia runoffs, I wouldn't totally dismiss the idea that a party can sabotage its own turnout when it claims that elections are stolen. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 28, 2021