Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 19, 2021

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Tue May 25 12:30:20 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If you're absolutely terrified of RCV then just do a first-past-the-post poll where you ask just about first preferences and compare it actual first preferences. That's *lame* and less useful than an RCV poll would be, but at least it removes the excuse that RCV is too hard. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 25, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If pollsters want to sit out high-profile races that's their prerogative. It may align with their incentives. Pollsters get a ton of crap when they're "wrong" but little credit when they're "right" and that's a deterrent to doing more polling. Don't give me this RCV BS though. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 25, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

p.s. Wouldn't surprise me if RCV polling is actually easier in the long run, at least in the sense of a poll predicting the right winner. It's arguably a more robust system given that a candidate needs to have broad support rather than e.g. flukishly winning with 21% of the vote. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 25, 2021