Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 1, 2021

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Wed May 12 19:47:42 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kareem_carr It's not a perfect analogy but sometimes people like me are accused of thinking too much about "electability" or electoral outcomes when assessing political developments. And it's like...that's probably true, but that's also where my expertise lies, so of course I think about it. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 12, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kareem_carr Certainly reasonable and I'm sure it varies a lot from epi to epi too. But I also wonder if salience is an issue, i.e. epis are trained to think about certain types of risks or certain parts of the tradeoffs we face. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 12, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm @CT_Bergstrom @nadabakos I think a lot of it is there's a gulf between "understandable" after a lot of new habits developed amid a very hard year, and "rational", with "reasonable" somewhere in between. All those terms are loaded (hence the scare quotes) but that's what some of these arguments are about. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 12, 2021