Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 1, 2021

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Wed May 12 18:54:07 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm @CT_Bergstrom @nadabakos Case rates are falling rapidly even as social activity greatly ramps up. It seems to me that's easier to explain if natural immunity is also playing some role, since we're below the threshold that most epis seem to think is necessary for herd immunity from vaccinations alone. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 12, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm @CT_Bergstrom @nadabakos There's plenty of evidence that disease-acquired immunity is protective for most people against the strains that are currently most common in the US. So it's a big factor in the calculation right now. What happens down the road, we'll see. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 12, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kareem_carr The risk of passing COVID along to others once vaccinated is fairly small and when interviewed about it, epis mostly attribute their caution to risk-aversion and pandemic-bred habits rather than concerns about spreading to others. https://t.co/LJ7FYNwI5r https://t.co/uadrgVIGQg — PolitiTweet.org

@agraybee @NateSilver538 Back of the envelope with conservative assumptions, your per hour risk of killing somebody… https://t.co/R1IZY1Hi1E

Posted May 12, 2021