Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 23, 2021

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Fri May 07 23:06:01 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@davidlazer No one was expecting a drop-off in first doses that looks like El Capitan and everyone would have conceded that the pause was a terrible idea if they'd seen that graph in advance. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 7, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm And the drop in first doses was considerably larger than the amount of J&J doses that were being supplied, so I'm suggesting there was both a direct impact (no J&J appointments) and an indirect one (increasing hesitancy). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 7, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm It's the sharp, nonlinear nature of the decline and the exact timing of the decline with the J&J pause that implicates it. You would have expected a much more rounded peak under normal conditions. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 7, 2021