Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 23, 2021

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Thu May 06 14:58:45 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

...both special elections and the generic ballot. Tried a bunch of different model specifications, etc. The special election results added nothing, contradicting my priors. They're sort of fool's gold. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 6, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'll confess I believed the opposite until a few years ago, when I actually did the work to study this in updating our Congressional model in 2018. We collected a ton of special election results, were excited to have an metric of the political environment that incorporated... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 6, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias The tone of some of those articles is strange though (see below). They're written in such a way as to imply it's vaguely unseemly to ask these questions before grudgingly acknowledging the scientists asking them might have a point. https://t.co/jpuW5Ezd60 https://t.co/l6tlPGwHjc — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 6, 2021