Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 23, 2021

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Tue May 04 14:40:34 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's very difficult to know what constitutes rational behavior during a pandemic like COVID-19 so there's a a limit to how much you might judge anybody's choices. But I'd argue one sign of *irrationality* is if a person doesn't change their behavior much after being vaccinated. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 4, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@CT_Bergstrom Good thread. I really dislike when there's statistical method that may be perfectly fine unto itself, but which is extrapolated out in such a way as to imply a rich degree of geographical detail when it isn't there in the underlying data. Comes up a lot in election analysis too. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 4, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias I'm a comparative optimist I suppose but there's good reason to think that the endgame will be long, patchy, bumpy even if the overall trajectory is positive. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 4, 2021