Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 5, 2021

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Wed Apr 21 20:30:05 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@ZoeMcLaren One prediction I'd make (with fairly high confidence though not 100% confidence) is that perceptions of J&J will never fully recover, and that will have some consequences down the road. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 21, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@ZoeMcLaren The topline numbers differ a bit from poll to poll but I wouldn't necessarily expect a huge effect. My concerns are mostly along these lines: 1) The effects among people who haven't taken the vaccine yet 2) The effects on people for whom J&J was the best/most convenient option — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 21, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@ZoeMcLaren No 1) is somewhat tricky to measure, in part because vaccine-hesitant people are probably also the sorts of people whom its hard to reach in a poll, but in the long run the best indicator is probably simply how many people are getting vaccinated. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 21, 2021