Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 5, 2021

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Wed Apr 21 12:58:14 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@ArmstrongDrew It's always tricky, but the fact that there's widespread availability of the mRNA vaccines most places isn't a great fact for the FDA/CDC, as it suggests that people with cancelled J&J appointments (or who would have made J&J appointments) aren't substituting the other vaccines. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 21, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@ArmstrongDrew The problem is there wasn't a secular downtrend already underway. The downtrend began the very day the J&J pause was announced, and now seems to be picking up steam. So while it *could* all be a coincidence, I don't think this one is *that* hard to parse. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 21, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@JamesSurowiecki I don't know that there's as much consensus about this among hockey fans as you'd think. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 21, 2021