Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 5, 2021

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Mon Apr 19 13:17:31 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

FWIW, the below was intended more as a critique of experts than individuals. Low-probability risks are hard for our brains to compute, period. And after a year+ of having our brains rewired by (often legitimately very scary) COVID risks, it's even harder now. — PolitiTweet.org

The reason I think that some *vaccinated* people are in fact being irrational about COVID risk is stuff like this.… https://t.co/RXlBtgn8VY

Posted April 19, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The reason I think that some *vaccinated* people are in fact being irrational about COVID risk is stuff like this. It's inconsistent with how I imagine they'd handle other risks of a similar or indeed larger magnitude, e.g. riding in a car. https://t.co/asY1CrH3Y7 — PolitiTweet.org

@agraybee @NateSilver538 Back of the envelope with conservative assumptions, your per hour risk of killing somebody… https://t.co/R1IZY1Hi1E

Posted April 18, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But that's precisely why I worry about experts who reinforce the notion that it's worth having a considerable amount of concern for risks on magnitude of say 1/1M. When it comes to COVID stuff, most people are probably "too" concerned about those risks already. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 19, 2021