Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 5, 2021

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Sun Apr 18 19:57:09 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias It was arguably a consequential mistake, too, since there were a lot of triage-type decisions (e.g. sending patients back to nursing homes) made on an assumption that hospitals would be completely and utterly overwhelmed. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 18, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias COVID hospitalization rates were also badly overestimated by some early models, e.g. the scientific consensus in like March 2020 was in the range of 5-20%, and it wound up being more like 2%. But there was hardly any press coverage of this. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 18, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The reason I think that some *vaccinated* people are in fact being irrational about COVID risk is stuff like this. It's inconsistent with how I imagine they'd handle other risks of a similar or indeed larger magnitude, e.g. riding in a car. https://t.co/asY1CrH3Y7 — PolitiTweet.org

@agraybee @NateSilver538 Back of the envelope with conservative assumptions, your per hour risk of killing somebody… https://t.co/R1IZY1Hi1E

Posted April 18, 2021