Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 29, 2021

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Tue Apr 13 15:38:30 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kakape @FiveThirtyEight I really appreciate the civility here. I think the two main differences are i) that the FDA did a blanket pause rather than a targeted one for say women aged 16-49 and ii) I think we *can* make some educated guesses about the effects on vaccine hesitancy. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 13, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@ashishkjha If it's for a few days, it mostly comes down to the effects on vaccine hesitancy, which I tend to infer are strongly downside-weighted, although weren't part of the calculation I was going for in that thread. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 13, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kakape @FiveThirtyEight On i) since young women are both at lower risk of death from COVID and (possibly) higher risk of clots, the decision could be close for that group. Of course there are other complications: they can pass the disease to others, they can get long COVID, etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 13, 2021