Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 17, 2021

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Thu Apr 08 16:18:15 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Why the minority party tends to gain at the midterms is a complicated question, but much of it is simply that voters want to check the party in power. However, if the minority party could use a good midterm to permanently entrench itself, the calculation is a lot different. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 8, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

By "existential" mean that many Democrats will think that "democracy itself is on the line" between the Big Lie (and the fact that Congressional majorities could make it easier for the GOP to overturn the 2024 election) and the increased attention to voting rights. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 8, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also, the fact that Republicans *aren't* rebranding themselves when losing parties almost always do is significant. It's possible that the midterm gains that the minority party typically makes are premised upon doing so. https://t.co/2c1yYn8C7Y — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 8, 2021