Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 15, 2021

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Tue Mar 30 12:42:26 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Namely, that people who acquire COVID are transmitting it, on average, to ~1.1 other people in Canada right now. And there's no guarantee that the persons you'll transmit to will also be young and healthy. A vaccine that can stop ~90% of those transmissions is a life-saver. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 30, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It suppose it *could* be true that the risk of dying from blood clots from the AZ vaccine, while very low, is enough to compete with the risk of acquiring and dying from COVID for healthy young people, which is also low. But that leaves something big out! https://t.co/MUFNFASQ6D https://t.co/3LjPCxF9IW — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 30, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It also leaves out the morbidity risk (e.g. long COVID). But the point is, this is inconsistent with how we've treated risk over the past year. We've been telling young, healthy people at low risk of dying themselves to radically alter their lives to ↓ community transmission. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 30, 2021