Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 13, 2021

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Thu Mar 25 16:40:48 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Nate_Cohn One defense of polling in 2020 is that even in a bad year, it was still quite useful in terms if correctly predicting Biden winning the primary, Biden winning the general election, and Democrats (eventually) winning Congress. People may expect an unrealistic level of precision. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 25, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Nate_Cohn A bit of both but mostly the latter. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 25, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Nate_Cohn But mostly I mean in the sense of "if you were trying to predict how accurate polls will be in 2022 or 2024, how much should 2020 cause you to revise your prediction?" and I think the answer is not nearly as much as people think. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 25, 2021