Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 8, 2021

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Mon Mar 22 13:52:59 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Like the US, Israel has been reopening quickly and is having issues with variants. So there are a lot of currents pushing in both directions and you may not get a perfectly smooth ride. And although the US is vaccinating quickly, we're at only about ⅓ the rate of Israel's peak. https://t.co/APaSVLrU1R — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 22, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Perhaps instructive that, amidst a very sharp decline in cases overall as it's now fully vaccinated 50% of its population, Israel also had a couple of plateaus that lasted 10-14 days at a time where its progress stalled out. https://t.co/67EeaivUUp https://t.co/GIY3LdenvO — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 22, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I guess my somewhat nuanced takeaways here are that: 1) We should perhaps expect a bumpy landing, especially if there are inequities in who's getting vaccinated 2) Nonetheless, a plateau or a small rise doesn't necessarily portend a "4th wave" 3) Vaccinate, vaccinate, vaccinate — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 22, 2021