Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 30, 2021

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Fri Mar 12 23:00:20 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @ZoeMcLaren: @NateSilver538 @DKThomp Exponential decay kicks in when R<1 through any combination of measures. And brings cases down real… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 12, 2021 Retweet

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DKThomp Yeah many unknowns. Seroprevalence estimates are rough. And it's hard to find reliable estimates of exactly how prevalent the variants are. I do think it's likely we'd be losing rather than (for the time being) narrowly winning the race against variants with the EUs vaccine pace. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 12, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@ZoeMcLaren @DKThomp This is super helpful, thank you! I think people often fail to grasp how much of a difference R being just slightly less than 1 vs. slightly greater than one makes when you start to compound that over a few weeks/months. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 12, 2021