Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 30, 2021

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Fri Mar 12 22:10:12 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DKThomp I keep hoping for one of the Actual Epidemiologists to do some counterfactual modeling where they look at what the current US trajectory would look like given the EU's vaccine pace. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 12, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DKThomp Seems decently easy to explain? All of continental Europe has much lower vaccination rates than the US. And Eastern Europe (which didn't have as many problems in the spring and so had one fewer wave than the US or Western Europe) likely also has less seroprevalence. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 12, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DKThomp Yeah many unknowns. Seroprevalence estimates are rough. And it's hard to find reliable estimates of exactly how prevalent the variants are. I do think it's likely we'd be losing rather than (for the time being) narrowly winning the race against variants with the EUs vaccine pace. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 12, 2021