Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 30, 2021

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Thu Mar 11 17:54:20 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias If we're following the science here, there's also all the Phil Tetlock stuff about how "foxes" with modest domain expertise who aggregate info from domian-matter experts tend to make better forecasts than the domain-matter experts themselves. https://t.co/XUePiBTfbf — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 11, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So, it looks like most of you were too pessimistic back in November. 20 MLB teams are now confirmed as planning to allow 20%+ capacity on Opening Day. It's likely that several others who are still clarifying policy will join them, too. https://t.co/hRmUXglAC2 — PolitiTweet.org

Not really a question about baseball but about the pandemic; I'm just curious about what people's expectations are… https://t.co/O7XmHztdyw

Posted March 11, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias And to take a more pluralistic view toward expertise. The NYT recently ran a story on the expert consensus re: schools. But they defined experts as "doctors who study infectious disease in children". Seems like you'd also want to talk to teachers, child development experts, etc. https://t.co/IHjKyQNpAl — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 11, 2021