Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 24, 2021

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Wed Mar 03 13:20:11 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

.@mattyglesias talked about this in his (paywalled, I think) newsletter today, but the most empirically robust electoral finding that most consistently gets ignored is that moderates DO in fact win elections more often, holding other factors constant. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 3, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @notdred: Great thread on neutralizing sera of vaccinated folks vs. P.1 (Brazil) variant. Looks like from an immune standpoint it should… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 3, 2021 Retweet

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Of course, what constitutes a moderate is somewhat in the eyes of the beholder. In 538's models, we measure it by partisanship, i.e. how often a member of Congress dissents from her party, and we see robust effects. It's not surprising that Collins or Manchin won re-election. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 3, 2021