Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 24, 2021

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Tue Mar 02 21:21:13 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kwcollins @laurabronner It does mean accuracy; more specifically, predicted accuracy for the pollster going forward. We are evaluating all of this now and it's very possible we'll wind up changing the penalty/bonus based on mode. However, the 2020 general election is part of a larger body of evidence. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 2, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kwcollins @laurabronner There are somewhat better metrics, we think (e.g. looking how a poll compares to others), but the bigger point is that one general election cycle is a really small sample size, especially in a presidential year where results up and down the ballot are highly correlated. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 2, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

What's kind of screwed up is that states like Texas and Florida that are eager to fully open up tend not to have made the vaccine available for essential workers yet, whereas the more "closed" states (though nowhere is truly closed) largely have. https://t.co/KzISbdaYKE https://t.co/jG0oKCxLQD — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 2, 2021