Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 21, 2021

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Mon Mar 01 15:49:59 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

To put it another way, while it's likely that even one dose of J&J is highly effective against the *most severe* outcomes (hospitalizations & deaths), that would likely also be true for one dose of Moderna or Pfizer. But the US isn't doing "first doses first" for Moderna/Pfizer. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 1, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It seems like the real issue is not really J&J vs. Pfizer/Moderna—they're all similarly effective—but that because of how the trials were conducted, people assigned to Pfizer/Moderna are entitled to get a 2nd shot whereas people assigned to J&J are not. https://t.co/ckNUIFqGiE — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 1, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The most rational *workable* policy at this point might be: Currently eligible people are still recommended to get 2 doses, which means Pfizer/Moderna until the J&J 2-dose trial is complete. Open up a 1-dose lane to everyone else now, with an option to get a 2nd dose later. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 1, 2021