Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 13, 2021

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Thu Feb 25 15:34:27 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@WesPegden The USC survey did show a slight uptick in "visited a bar, club, or other gathering place". I wish they'd included restaurants in that category because it's somewhat ambiguous otherwise. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 25, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

While I've seen some (reasonable) speculation that people are starting to relax their behavior as COVID cases have declined, there's not much evidence of that yet in polling and mobility data. Maybe a slight uptick if you squint but not too much there. https://t.co/BT47WuNxZ4 https://t.co/X0Ry2wTx3u — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 25, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@WesPegden What I'm mostly skeptical about though is in the idea that there's some sort of nonlinear change in behavior, i.e. enough that R has just gone from 0.8 to 1.05 overnight. When you see that sort of thing, it's often a reporting artifact. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 25, 2021