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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 7, 2021

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Thu Feb 18 21:05:56 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @ZackBornstein: BREAKING: Perseverance Rover claims it was just dropping off daughters on Mars — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 18, 2021 Retweet

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BenjySarlin 0.5 or 0.6%-ish given the age structure of the US was my understanding of the consensus, not accounting for any impact from vaccines or new variants. The whole thing is a moving target, in fact (was probably higher early on when we knew less about how to treat people). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 18, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@trvrb I'm glad you're talking about the other factors too! I do think (understandably since behavior is what we have the most control over) there's *sometimes* overattribution of changes in case counts to behavior when those changes aren't evident in e.g. survey data. But... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 18, 2021

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