Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 6, 2021

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Thu Feb 18 18:55:24 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's good news that the good stuff is *currently* winning out (cases are declining by ~25% week-over-week in the US). Variants aren't having much of an effect yet, so this may not continue. On the other hand, there are a lot more gains to be had from vaccinating more people. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 18, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Good thread here. It's really a race between, one the one hand: - increased community immunity from vaccines (and to a lesser degree natural infections) - probably some seasonality and - variants - behavioral changes (i.e. people relaxing as cases decline) — PolitiTweet.org

After a ~2 month plateau from mid-Nov to mid-Jan, the US #COVID19 epidemic has undergone a steady week after week d… https://t.co/QpBcTMH7Uq

Posted Feb. 18, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Another good thread on this subject: https://t.co/Fp0zswmAx1 — PolitiTweet.org

One of @CDCgov's own models has tracked the true decline in cases quite accurately thus far. Their projection show… https://t.co/x4mceanuXU

Posted Feb. 18, 2021