Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 3, 2021

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Mon Feb 15 14:30:53 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@conorsen @ScottGottliebMD You also (per survey data) have ~1/3 of the country that seems to be able and willing to avoid close contact with non-residents most of the time. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 15, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@conorsen @ScottGottliebMD I think maybe my biggest pet peeve is people discounting the effects of rising community immunity even if the herd immunity threshold per se is far from having been reached. Maybe 30% or 40% + OTHER FAIRLY MAJOR BEHAVIORAL CHANGES counts for a lot. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 15, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@notdred @conorsen @ScottGottliebMD I think there's maybe a subtle distinction between what professionals would say if asked specifically about this or if asked to make a forecast, and what points tend to be emphasized when they're talking to the press. Also varies a lot from professional to professional. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 15, 2021