Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 1, 2021

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Thu Feb 11 15:43:05 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DKThomp FWIW that Friday figure was sort of misleading. Over the past several days, we've started to see some of the week-over-week declines that people were hoping for/expecting given the decline in hospitalizations. Still very high in absolute numbers, though. https://t.co/l2ADi6TxkI — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 11, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kakape But I noticed in the UK that the fitness advantage of B117 was initially estimated to be 70% and then revised down to 50% and then to more like 30% in the most recent estimates as it became more widespread. It seems like the dynamics are maybe slightly complicated. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 11, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It seems like one key question is whether there are members of Congress who would maximize their chances of being re-elected (winning the primary + the general) by joining a new center-right party. And I'd think there probably are, though not more than a handful. — PolitiTweet.org

Will a significant splinter GOP third party happen? Unlikely. Could it happen? I'm surprised to say that, yeah, it… https://t.co/E2UKfRvwhS

Posted Feb. 11, 2021