Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 22, 2021

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Thu Feb 04 16:43:04 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Part of me wonders whether in Northern Hemisphere countries with high vaccine availability, COVID cases could get pretty low in the spring/summer, but then make a comeback in the fall/winter, driven by seasonality + variants that render current vaccines less effective. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 4, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm still confused by what the consensus is on COVID seasonality (maybe there isn't a consensus?) but the data in these charts on how other coronaviruses behave seasonally is pretty interesting, tending to peak in December. — PolitiTweet.org

Short thread: Cases are starting to plummet quickly. This isn’t from vaccines (yet). Possible we may be starti… https://t.co/dNEmULClc6

Posted Feb. 4, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Of course maybe you can avoid this via a vaccine booster dose delivered in the autumn, and Moderna etc. are already trialing those. So that's good. But the US would need to be prepared to roll those out quickly rather than letting its guard down. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 4, 2021