Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 21, 2021

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Wed Feb 03 17:12:27 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @nataliexdean: Oxford/AZ reports overall reduction in PCR positivity of 54.1%, but only 2% "vaccine efficacy against asymptomatic infect… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2021 Retweet

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@notdred I also recall lots of expert threads, comments, etc. which seemed to imply we should have some pretty strong priors on vaccines reducing transmission (though likely not as much as severe disease). Maybe the new study takes us from "very likely" to "almost certain"? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@foxjust I think this underestimates the impact of other interventions. R0 in Milan in February 2021 or something when we know absolutely nothing about COVID won't be the same as when people are taking *some* fairly low-hanging-fruit precautions even as things get more back to normal. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2021