Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 16, 2021

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Tue Jan 26 21:54:09 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In practice it's going to be hard to find 300m Americans willing to get vaccinated by Sept. 22. (It's literally impossible until vaccines are approved for children.) And we'll probably eventually mix in some one-dose vaccines. Still, ramping up to 2-2.5m/day is a laudable goal. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 26, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Anyway, this is a substantially more ambitious commitment so good for the Biden administration for moving beyond a prior goal of 1m doses/day. To vaccinate 300 million people (=600 million doses) by Sept. 22 (last day of summer) would require a pace of 2.4 million shots/day. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 26, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@notdred For sure, but reaching that pace would allow us to put a huge dent in the pandemic by late spring or early summer. Maybe you hope for something like this: Feb: 1.5m/day Mar: 2.0m/day Apr: 2.5m/day May: 2.5m/day June: 2.5m/day July: 2.0m/day Then things slow down, etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 26, 2021