Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 10, 2021

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Fri Jan 22 14:31:21 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

That works out to ~250m Americans who'll get a vaccine. Let's say 80% are covered with 2-dose vaccines and 20% with 1-dose vaccines. That's ~500m doses. We've delivered ~20m so far so ~480m to go. There are ~240 days between now and Sept. 21 so that works out to 2 million/day. 2/ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 22, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, so say we want to get 75% of the population vaccinated by Sept. 22 (last day of summer). That seems optimistic because of vaccine hesitancy and the fact that we don't yet have a vaccine approved for children. But it's toward the low end of Fauci's goal. 1/ — PolitiTweet.org

This would be great! And I think it is plausible. But it implies a much faster pace of vaccination than Biden’s “10… https://t.co/UyzRfC5Bw0

Posted Jan. 22, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Maybe 1m/day (Biden's goal) is all we can manage for now. But to be clear, it's not a fast enough pace in the long term. If we were still at 1m/day on April 30 (end of Biden's first 100 days) that would be disappointing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 22, 2021