Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 25, 2021

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Tue Jan 05 14:09:28 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

And, yes, sometimes you have to analyze the political incentives of the relevant actors, which may seem banal. And sometimes you have to assess the likelihood of success (exceedingly low). That is part of the story, and moreover, part of taking the story *seriously*. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 5, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I criticized the NYT and other outlets a ton from mid-2015 through mid-2017 for how they covered Trump, including this sort of "news analysis" piece that was prone toward tired tropes and false equivalencies. These stories have changed a LOT since then, in my view for the better. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 5, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In many respects, in fact, this is a story about 2024 because *that's when the Republican 'coup' attempts would plausibly have a tangible likelihood of succeeding*. If you're interested in taking the story seriously, you should be interested in 2022 GOP primaries, for instance. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 5, 2021