Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 24, 2021

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Tue Jan 05 04:07:25 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@WesPegden It's probably all wishful thinking and my prior at this point is that B.1.1.7 is very bad news, but I do sometimes wonder if there's something to be said of the staying power of previous strains that have predominated for many months in many parts of the world. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 5, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@WesPegden We've also had 10+ months to develop interventions against the previous dominant strains but little experience with B.1.1.7. e.g. If a new variant were more transmissible on surfaces it might have an advantage if people had gotten lax on hand-washing, but we could improve that. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 5, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@JamesSurowiecki I don't think there's much evidence for that. We are doing *some* genome sequencing so we'd probably have some degree of direct evidence for it. And as far as indirect evidence goes, there have been lots of weird hard-to-explain local spikes all pandemic long. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 5, 2021