Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 21, 2021

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Sun Jan 03 15:05:34 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Part of that is because of how I read public opinion. It may be that it would be rational to have some fairly harsh lockdowns in say Feb-April if the UK variant is becoming more established but not enough people have been vaccinated to really help with herd immunity. However... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 3, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I've read a lot of arguments on both sides of this debate and to me, this side (that we should allow for a longer gap between the first and second dose to let more people get their first dose sooner) is more persuasive by some margin. https://t.co/X3L8zFGlca — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 3, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm not sure how willing people will be to abide by new lockdowns, particularly if they're frustrated by the slow pace of vaccine distribution and they think their own first dose is many months off. Getting more people a first dose sooner will mean people feel more "dealt in". — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 3, 2021